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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">scbook</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Биология растений и садоводство: теория, инновации</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Plant Biology and Horticulture: theory, innovation</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2712-7788</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Federal State Funded Institution of Science “The Labour Red Banner Order Nikitsky Botanical Gardens – National scientific Center of the RAS”</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.36305/2712-7788-2022-4-165-27-39</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">scbook-686</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ЭКОЛОГИЯ И ОХРАНА ПРИРОДЫ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>ECOLOGY AND NATURE PRESERVATION</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Моделирование особенностей водного режима Pinus nigra subsp. pallasiana при помощи экофизиологических параметров в условиях ЮБК</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Simulation of the features of the water regime of Pinus nigra subsp. pallasiana with the use of ecophysiological parameters in the conditions of the Southern Coast of the Crimea</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ильницкий</surname><given-names>Олег Антонович</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ilnitsky</surname><given-names>O. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Паштецкий</surname><given-names>Андрей Владимирович</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pashtetsky</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff xml:lang="ru" id="aff-1"><institution>Никитский ботанический сад - Национальный научный центр РАН</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2022</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>07</day><month>02</month><year>2023</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>4 (165)</issue><fpage>27</fpage><lpage>39</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Ильницкий О.А., Паштецкий А.В., 2023</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2023</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Ильницкий О.А., Паштецкий А.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Ilnitsky O.A., Pashtetsky A.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://scbook.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/686">https://scbook.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/686</self-uri><abstract><p>Для изучения экофизиологической реакции Pinus nigra subsp. pallasiana на воздействие факторов внешней среды в период вегетации, мы применили математическую модель пошагового регрессионного анализа. В качестве зависимых переменных использовали относительную скорость сокодвижения в побеге (Sf, от. ед.) - датчик сокодвижения SF-5P и диаметр побега (d, мм.) - датчик SD-10z. Независимыми переменными являлись основные факторы внешней среды. Доля дисперсии зависимой переменной, объясняемой применяемыми моделями, составляет 97%. Практический выход разработанной модели с соответствующими количественными характеристиками заключается в том, что в перспективе можно будет прогнозировать экологическое состояние определенного региона.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>To study the ecophysiological response of Pinus nigra subsp. pallasiana on the impact of environmental factors during the growing season, we applied a mathematical model of stepwise regression analysis. As dependent variables, we used the relative speed of sap flow in the shoot (Sf., from. units.) - sap flow sensor SF-5P and the diameter of the sap (d, mm.) - sensor SD-10z. The independent variables were the main environmental factors. The proportion of variance in the dependent variable explained by the applied models is 97%. The practical output of the developed model with the corresponding quantitative characteristics is that in the future it will be possible to predict the ecological state of a certain region.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>Pinus nigra subsp. pallasiana</kwd><kwd>математическая модель</kwd><kwd>водный режим</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd><kwd>оптимальные и предельные условия окружающей среды</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>Pinus nigra subsp. pallasiana</kwd><kwd>mathematical model</kwd><kwd>forecast</kwd><kwd>optimal and limiting environmental conditions</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Анненков А.А. 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